On Sep 14, the US Embassy in Beijing suddenly announced that “The U.S. Ambassador to the People’s Republic of China Terry Branstad will retire from his position as U.S. envoy and depart Beijing in early October. The Ambassador confirmed his decision to President Trump by phone last week.”
It was said that the US didn’t notify Beijing about this, and it was a big embarrassment for the Chinese Communist Party, the CCP.
Although most of the US media chose to use “Terry Branstad stepping down” as their titles to cover this news, many overseas Chinese commentators are saying that this is a very significant, even symbolic event in terms of US-China relations. It’s a pro-active move on the US side to “downgrade” its relations with the People’s Republic of China, and could even be an indication that one day the US might cut off its diplomatic relations with the CCP altogether.
Why do they say this? And is it possible? Today, let’s discuss these issues.
Early Departure with No Reasons Provided
Many people noticed that the US Embassy in Beijing did not give any reasons for Branstad’s early departure. The press statement only talked about his achievements in the past 3 years, and that “The Ambassador will return to Iowa after leaving Beijing.”
In the meantime, US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo sent 3 tweets on the same day to praise Branstad’s “service to the American people.”
Although Fox did mention that Branstad could help President Trump with his re-election campaign after he leaves Beijing, that was only what Branstad intends to do after he leaves, not the reason why he decided to step down early.
Battles over an Article
To understand the reason behind this event, we need to check out another very interesting incident that happened right before this.
On August 26, the US Embassy in Beijing contacted the CCP’s mouthpiece People’s Daily, and requested that they publish Ambassador Branstad’s article titled “Resetting the Relationship Based on Reciprocity”. The article’s main point is that the “imbalanced” relationship between the US and China needs to be reset based on the principle of reciprocity.
On Sep. 9, the People Daily rejected this request, saying that the content of the article “is riddled with flaws, which is seriously inconsistent with the facts and is not in line with the criteria that People’s Daily, as a well-known, serious and professional media, has always upheld for the selection and publication of its articles. If the United States still wishes to publish the article in the People’s Daily, it should make substantive changes to the article in the light of the facts and in accordance with the principles of equality and mutual respect. ”
Secretary Pompeo immediately sent a tweet as a response, saying that “The Chinese Communist Party complains about a lack of fair and reciprocal treatment with the U.S. At the same time, the CCP refused to run Ambassador Branstad’s op-ed in the People’s Daily, while their ambassador is free to publish in any U.S. media outlet.”
On the same day, the US Department of State published a press statement titled “The Hypocrisy of the PRC’s Propaganda System”, saying that “The People’s Daily’s response once again exposes the Chinese Communist Party’s fear of free speech and serious intellectual debate – as well as Beijing’s hypocrisy when it complains about lack of fair and reciprocal treatment in other countries…If Communist China is sincere about becoming a mature power and strengthening relations with the free world, General Secretary Xi Jinping’s government would respect the right for Western diplomats to speak directly to the Chinese people, allow foreign journalists back into China, and stop the intimidation and harassment of investigative journalists, foreign and Chinese, who strive to uphold the integrity of the fifth estate to serve the public good. ”
The website of the US Embassy in China not only immediately published a Chinese version of the above statement but also posted it on its social media accounts in China, including Weibo and WeChat.
Initially, the statement survived on Weibo and WeChat but was banned from being shared. People couldn’t post comments as well.
Several hours later, it was deleted.
Then, several days later, Ambassador Branstad announced his early retirement.
Is the US Setting Up a “Trap” for the CCP?
So these are the events on the surface that we can see. But there are more under the surface that we didn’t see.
What are the things that we didn’t get to see?
According to many Chinese analysts, as well as the CCP’s spokesman Zhao Lijian, the US Embassy’s request to ask the People’s Daily to publish Branstad’s article is a “deliberately designed trap” to find fault with the CCP. Zhao Lijian said at a press conference, “It is false that the U.S. side wished to publish an article, and it is true that it set out to frame the Chinese side.”
Many Chinese analysts agreed to Zhao’s point. Their reasoning is that Ambassador Branstad knew very well that the People’s Daily would not dare to publish his article. But why would he still do such a “useless” thing knowingly? It was because the US government wanted to show its people as well as the world the true face of the CCP, to win more understanding and support for its tougher China policies.
According to one Chinese commentator Qin Peng, the fact that the US Embassy in China published the statement that sharply criticizes the CCP in Chinese language and on its Chinese social media accounts indicates three things:
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It is the US that proactively attacked the CCP;
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The statement didn’t use “China” to refer to China like before, but used the “People’s Republic of China” instead. As “the People’s Republic of China” is usually used as opposed to “The Republic of China”, this could be an indication that the US was acknowledging that there is a “The Republic of China”.
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This also means that Trump has made up his mind to destroy the CCP.
A De Facto Downgraded Relationship
When an official resigns early, there could be several reasons:
1. He has a health problem and cannot work.
2. His supervisor is unhappy about him and wants to replace him.
3. He is unhappy about his job and wants to quit.
Judging from the fact that Secretary Pompeo spoke highly of Branstad, and Branstad is going to campaign for President Trump, we could see that none of the three reasons applies to him. Then the most likely reason is that the US government wants him to leave early to create a de facto situation, in which there will be no US Ambassador in China. So the US wants to deliberately downgrade its diplomatic relations with the CCP.
Please also note that the US didn’t announce a successor for Branstad. If after Branstad leaves in early October as planned, there is still no one to take over his post, this kind of situation may remain until the US election is over in Nov., or even after Trump finishes his current term of office in next Jan.
Another Unprecedented Situation
If this really is the case, it will be another unprecedented situation between the US and Communist China. Many Chinese people still remember that during the chaotic times of China’s civil war in the late 1940s, when the CCP overturned the legitimate government of the Kuomintang, the US didn’t recall its ambassador.
Instead, even after the CCP occupied Nanjing, which was previously the capital city of Kuomintang’s regime, the US ambassador of that time, John Leighton Stuart, did not leave China. Instead, he started to talk with the CCP’s representative, only 13 days after the CCP took over Nanjing. The US government was observing the CCP’s regime and considering whether to establish a diplomatic relationship. Stuart was only called back to the US after the CCP leader Mao Zedong published an article “On the People’s Democratic Dictatorship”, showing that the CCP had chosen the Soviet Union over the US.
However, before he left, Stuart was still trying to visit Beijing to negotiate with the CCP’s top leaders.
So, in this sense, the current situation is more serious than the time in 1949, when the CCP just overthrew the Kuomintang government, which had a strong and good relationship with the US.
Downgrading the CCP, Upgrading Taiwan
While the US is downgrading its diplomatic relations with the CCP’s regime, it is “upgrading” its relationship with Taiwan, or, the Republic of China. Yesterday, on Sep 16, only 2 days after the US Embassy in Beijing announced Brandstad’s early departure, the US Department of State announced US Under Secretary of State Keith Krach’s visit to Taiwan.
The Foreign Ministry of Taiwan also announced that during Krach’s visit to Taiwan from today, which is Sep 17 to Sep 19, he will be meeting with President Tsai Ing-wen and other senior officials, and attending a memorial service for former President Lee Teng-hui.
This is, no doubt, a huge diplomatic victory for Taiwan, as at one point in 1979, the US had granted CCP’s China full diplomatic recognition, while severing normal ties with Taiwan.
So, the contrast between how the US is treating the People’s Republic of China, and the Republic of China, is staggering. Some commentators are even predicting a visit to Taiwan by Secretary Pompeo, or even President Trump himself, in the near future.
Well, just like I said in my previous show “The CCP, Hong Kong, Taiwan, & US: Romance of 4 Kingdoms”, when some forces are rising, other forces are falling. We are not only witnessing big, big changes unfolding right in front of our eyes, but are also given the opportunities to participate, and play a part in these historical events and changes. And I’ll discuss further one of the most important changes of our time, the possible ways and steps of the CCP’s demise next time. So stay tuned.
That’s all for today. Thanks for watching. Truth saves lives. Please do subscribe to my channel, share it with friends and family, and check out my other videos.
9/17/2020
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Three Ways and Possible Steps of the CCP’s Collapse
Hello, everyone! Welcome to “Inconvenient Truths by Jennifer Zeng”.
As promised in my last show, today I will talk about three ways and possible steps of the Chinese Communist Party, the CCP’s upcoming collapse. I say “upcoming collapse” because I do believe that the CCP is going to collapse soon. I hope you agree with me on this.
Three Ways of CCP’s Collapse
First, let me talk about three ways of the CCP’s collapse. But before that, please make sure you subscribe to my channel now so that you can get my updates in the future about more events on the CCP’s road to collapse.
Remember I did a show titled “ Is the Rebellion of the ‘Second-Generation Red’ the Last Straw For the CCP?” In that show, I introduced a very high-profile insider of the CCP, a professor of the CCP’s Central Party School, which specializes in training high-level CCP leaders. This professor’s name is Cai Xia. She was recently expelled from the CCP after an audio file of her sharply criticizing Xi Jinping and the CCP was leaked and widely circulated on the Internet. You can check out my previous show about her story if you’d like to know more.
In another audio file that was leaked more recently, Cai Xia talked about three ways the CCP could collapse.
The first way is through external wars, like what happened to Adolf Hitler and Muammar Gaddafi. Their regimes were all ended by external wars.
The second way is through internal reforms, like what happened in the former Soviet Union. Mikhail Gorbachev’s internal reforms resulted in a peaceful end of the Soviet Union, the first communist government on earth.
The third way is a total collapse from within after the CCP’s system can no longer handle all sorts of conflicts and pressure caused by the CCP’s terrorist style of ruling.
Which of the 3 ways do you think is most likely? Subscribe to my channel now if you haven’t, and then I’ll tell you what I think. Please also leave a comment under this video and share with us your thoughts.
Cai Xia’s opinion is, “The (CCP’s) end will be collapse from within. This collapse would be caused by an accidental event. And then this accidental event would cause the collapse of the entire society. Just like a nuclear explosion, after a long time of gestation, suddenly it explodes.”
My own thoughts are, external wars are not likely, but not 100% impossible. Internal reforms are not likely to happen, as I don’t think there is a strong enough force inside the party to bring about meaningful “reforms” or changes. Xi Jinping has been consolidating his solo power for all these years. Although, like Cai Xia said, 60-70% of the CCP members think that Xi should be replaced, but who dares, or is capable, to openly challenge Xi? I don’t see anyone.
The third way is the most likely one. Another possibility is that many different factors will work together to bring about the CCP’s end; one can hardly say which one will play more of a role than the others.
The Trilogy of the CCP’s Collapse
A popular Chinese commentator Tang Hao discussed this issue in a different way. He said the process of the CCP’s collapse could be a trilogy, which means there are three possible chapters.
Chapter 1: With the international pressure mounting, the CCP gets more and more isolated, the CCP’s officials and the general public feel the heat more and more.
I think everyone is already seeing this happening, especially after the outbreak of the COVID19 pandemic. The CCP’s cover-ups and suppression of the truth have led to unimaginable losses worldwide, more and more countries and people are feeling very angry towards the CCP. Over 120 countries are demanding an investigation into the origin and truth of the pandemic. Some countries have initiated legal actions against the CCP and demanded compensation.
Furthermore, the CCP’s disinformation campaign about the origin of the virus, its infiltration and manipulation of international organizations, its bullying and aggression against countries in the South China Sea area, its neglect of international order and rules, its crackdown on the people of Hong Kong, and its vicious threats against Taiwan, etc., have all made the international community increasingly resentful of it, and keep more of a distance from it. More and more countries are collaborating with the U.S. to isolate the CCP, while the US is openly showing its tougher and tougher stance on the CCP.
If you have watched my last video about the US Ambassador to China, Terry Branstad’s early departure, and about how the US is downgrading its relations with the CCP while upgrading its relations with Taiwan, you’ll have a bigger picture of the situation.
With foreign companies leaving China, the reduction of international investment, and the reduction of international food imports, the lives of the ordinary Chinese people will become more and more difficult and perhaps even unbearable.
At the same time, the international siege and the various sanctions from the U.S. will also hurt Chinese enterprises, as well as powerful elite groups, making things equally difficult for them, and thus building up stronger and stronger opposing forces inside the CCP.
Chapter 2: The internal conflict intensifies, and the CCP’s split goes public.
I did a show about this issue a month ago, with the title “Xi Jinping vs Li Keqiang:The CCP’s Split Goes Public”. Please go watch that one if you haven’t already.
A little bit of an update on this issue is that recently an open letter from another high profile CCP insider has circulated on the Internet. This high profile insider is Leng Jiefu, a retired professor, and former director of the Politics Faculty of Renmin University of China. This university is also known as a special institution that specializes in training high-level cadres for the CCP.
Leng Jiefu’s letter suggests three things:
1. Xi Jinping should step down;
2. China should adopt a federal system, establish a “United States of China” to resolve the issues of the Taiwan reunification, ethnic minorities, and Hong Kong.
3. The top priority of China’s economy is to develop its agriculture.
The Chinese version of the Epoch Times interviewed Professor Leng Jiefu several days ago. He admitted that he did write that letter, but said the letter was written in April this year. He didn’t understand why it suddenly appeared on the Internet now.
He also said that the letter was “out of date” now, as when he wrote the letter in April, the situations with Hong Kong, Taiwan, and other ethnic minorities were not as bad as today.
He said, “It is too late now. The situation has developed to such a point that a Federation may not be able to handle it”.
In other words, we can say that this professor’s assessment of the current situation is totally different from that of only 5 months ago when he thought a “United States of China” could be a solution. Now he thought it was too late, and there was no chance for China to resolve all of its problems with such a system. He didn’t say why, but we all understand that it’s because the CCP has gone too far for it to go back.
Now let’s go to Chapter 3 of the CCP’s collapse.
Chapter 3: Chinese people see through the CCP, rise up, and fight back.
According to Tang Hao, because of a worsening international environment, the CCP will encounter huge problems with its economy. Unemployment will go up. If the food crisis really breaks, or the pandemic hits again, Chinese people’s anger and discontent will rise.
If at this stage, the CCP’s internal conflicts become more intense, or even a coup happens, the Chinese people will see more clearly the ugliness and falsehoods within the CCP hierarchy.
Or, if, more CCP insiders come out to expose more of the CCP’s crimes, releasing more hard evidence of how the CCP created and spread the pandemic to the whole world, how the CCP mass killed people and sold their organs, how the CCP has been persecuting innocent people all these years, etc, it will likely prompt a large number of Chinese people to recognize the CCP’s rule of lies and to resent the CCP’s years of deception and oppression of its people. Angry people may thus rise up and demand that the CCP step down, and be held accountable for its crimes.
Will Xi Jinping be Forced to Dismantle the CCP?
At this stage, maybe someone will come out and give orders to have the CCP dismantled. These orders could either come from Xi Jinping himself or someone else. If the situation inside China really goes out of control, Xi Jinping’s only way to save himself would be to order the dismantling of the CCP so that he can win support from the US, as well as the Chinese people.
If he doesn’t dissolve the CCP, even if he steps down and hands over his power to another person, he has accumulated too many enemies in his anti-corruption campaigns, and harmed the interests of too many people, he will probably not be able to protect himself and his family.
Moreover, he will be blamed for all the problems, will be held accountable at home and abroad for all the CCP’s crimes. His successor will surely put all the blame on him.
So, it will be better off if Xi Jinping chooses to end the CCP with his own hands. Tang Hao says that there is a good chance that Xi Jinping will do so, but I personally am not that confident about this. Maybe he will if it’s his last chance, but I’m not sure whether it is already too late for him to do so.
“Human’s Calculations Can Never Beat Heaven’s Arrangements”
Well, what I mentioned are some assumptions of possible ways and steps of the CCP’s demise. The CCP is like a sinking ship now with water coming in from so many holes. Which hole will be the first to break and blast open? Nobody knows. There is an old saying in Chinese, “ 人算不如天算”, which can be roughly translated as “Human’s calculations/speculations/predictions can never beat heaven’s arrangements.” Perhaps as human beings, we can only try to figure out what heaven’s will is, and act according to it.
That’s all for today. Thank you for watching. This is your third chance to subscribe to my channel and share it. I hope you don’t miss it. And remember to check my other videos that you might have missed in the past.
9/19/2020
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Truth Saves Lives. Subscribe and support! 真相能救命。請支持!
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